Standard Liege vs KVC Westerlo: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik
The Footlab model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for KVC Westerlo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Standard Liege vs KVC Westerlo?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Standard Liege (1,941) and KVC Westerlo (1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Standard Liege have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; KVC Westerlo have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Viktoria Köln(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 0-4 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Genk(away) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(home) | 1-5 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kifisia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Standard Liege win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 KVC Westerlo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | KVC Westerlo 1-2 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Standard Liege 1-2 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Standard Liege 0-0 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | KVC Westerlo 0-2 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 24, 2025 | KVC Westerlo 0-0 Standard Liege | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Standard Liege 1-1 KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege on May 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Standard Liege score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; KVC Westerlo score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| KVC Westerlo | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Standard Liege sit 6th in Jupiler Pro League (5 points from 3 matches) and KVC Westerlo sit 18th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Standard Liege | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 18 | KVC Westerlo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Standard Liege vs KVC Westerlo?
- The Footlab model makes Standard Liege the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for KVC Westerlo.
- Where and when is Standard Liege vs KVC Westerlo played?
- Standard Liege vs KVC Westerlo is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.