Geoje Citizen vs Haman: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Geoje Stadium, Geoje
The Footlab AI model makes Geoje Citizen the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Haman. The most likely score is 1-1. If Geoje Citizen wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geoje Citizen vs Haman?
Geoje Citizen starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,646 vs 1,520).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Geoje Citizen vs Haman
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Geoje Citizen
Not enough data to predict the Geoje Citizen lineup.
Haman
Not enough data to predict the Haman lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geoje Citizen have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Haman have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Pyeongtaek Citizen(home) | 3-0 | K4 League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(away) | 0-0 | K4 League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 2-0 | K4 League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(away) | 1-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jincheon(away) | 1-4 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(away) | 0-2 | K4 League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(home) | 1-3 | K4 League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Jincheon(home) | 3-1 | K4 League |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(home) | 2-3 | K4 League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sejong SA(home) | 1-0 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Geoje Citizen wins, 1 draw, 0 Haman wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Haman 2-2 Geoje Citizen | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Haman vs Geoje Citizen on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geoje Citizen score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Haman score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoje Citizen | 2.0 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Haman | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geoje Citizen sit 8th in K4 League (28 points from 19 matches) and Haman sit 11th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Geoje Citizen | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 28 |
| 11 | Haman | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 37 | 20 |
A question about Geoje Citizen vs Haman?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geoje Citizen vs Haman?
- The Footlab AI model makes Geoje Citizen the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Haman.
- Where and when is Geoje Citizen vs Haman played?
- Geoje Citizen vs Haman is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Geoje Stadium, in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.