Gernika vs Alfaro: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 4Kick-off on September 28, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Urbieta, Gernika-Lumo
Full time
What was the result of Gernika vs Alfaro?
Gernika won 1-0 on September 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 40′641502Gernika
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gernika have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Alfaro have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Náxara(away) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Utebo(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Real Zaragoza II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 4, 2025 | Real Sociedad III(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Subiza(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Basconia(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Eibar II(away) | 3-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 10, 2025 | SS Reyes(away) | 0-0 | Copa Federacion |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Sestao River(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 4, 2025 | UD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gernika win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Alfaro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2025 | Alfaro 2-1 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Gernika 0-1 Alfaro | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Gernika 2-0 Alfaro | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Alfaro 0-2 Gernika | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Gernika score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Alfaro score 0.9 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gernika | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Alfaro | 0.9 | 1.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gernika sit 11th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 (45 points from 34 matches) and Alfaro sit 18th (25 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gernika | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 40 | 45 |
| 18 | Alfaro | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 60 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy