Geumsan Insam vs Namyangju: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Geumsan Insam the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Namyangju. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Geumsan Insam vs Namyangju?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Geumsan Insam (1,642) and Namyangju (1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Geumsan Insam have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Namyangju have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(away) | 3-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(home) | 1-3 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 2-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Changwon City(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Haman(away) | 3-1 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(away) | 1-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 3-2 | K4 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Gimpo Citizen(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Haman(home) | 2-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Geumsan Insam win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Namyangju win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Namyangju 1-1 Geumsan Insam | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Namyangju vs Geumsan Insam on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Geumsan Insam score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Namyangju score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geumsan Insam | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Namyangju | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Geumsan Insam sit 3rd in K4 League (30 points from 18 matches) and Namyangju sit 4th (29 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Geumsan Insam | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 30 |
| 4 | Namyangju | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Geumsan Insam vs Namyangju?
- The Footlab model makes Geumsan Insam the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Namyangju.
- Where and when is Geumsan Insam vs Namyangju played?
- Geumsan Insam vs Namyangju is played on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC), in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.