Seosan Pioneer vs Jincheon: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Jincheon the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Seosan Pioneer. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Seosan Pioneer vs Jincheon?
Jincheon starts as the favourite with a 192-point Elo edge (1,693 vs 1,502).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seosan Pioneer have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Jincheon have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Geumsan Insam(home) | 0-3 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gijang United(home) | 0-2 | K4 League |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Pyeongtaek Citizen(away) | 5-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Gyeongju HNP(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(away) | 0-1 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(away) | 1-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Geoje Citizen(home) | 4-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sejong SA(away) | 1-4 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Siheung Citizen(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Namyangju(home) | 2-2 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Seosan Pioneer win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Jincheon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Jincheon 3-0 Seosan Pioneer | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Jincheon vs Seosan Pioneer on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Seosan Pioneer score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jincheon score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seosan Pioneer | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
| Jincheon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Seosan Pioneer sit 12th in K4 League (12 points from 17 matches) and Jincheon sit 2nd (37 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jincheon | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 37 |
| 12 | Seosan Pioneer | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 20 | 41 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Seosan Pioneer vs Jincheon?
- The Footlab model makes Jincheon the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Seosan Pioneer.
- Where and when is Seosan Pioneer vs Jincheon played?
- Seosan Pioneer vs Jincheon is played on October 11, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC), in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.