Sejong SA vs Gijang United: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Sejong SA the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Gijang United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sejong SA vs Gijang United?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Sejong SA (1,605) and Gijang United (1,565).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sejong SA have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Gijang United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 4-5 | K4 League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Haman(away) | 0-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jincheon(home) | 4-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(home) | 1-3 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 1-4 | K4 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(away) | 2-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(away) | 0-3 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Busan Transportation(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 1-1 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sejong SA win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gijang United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Gijang United 1-0 Sejong SA | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Gijang United vs Sejong SA on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sejong SA score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gijang United score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sejong SA | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Gijang United | 1.4 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sejong SA sit 7th in K4 League (23 points from 17 matches) and Gijang United sit 10th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sejong SA | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 23 |
| 10 | Gijang United | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 33 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sejong SA vs Gijang United?
- The Footlab model makes Sejong SA the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Gijang United.
- Where and when is Sejong SA vs Gijang United played?
- Sejong SA vs Gijang United is played on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC), in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.