Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Al Zawra'a the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Gharraf. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Zawra'a wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,850 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a?
Al Zawra'a starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,651 vs 1,490).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gharraf
Not enough data to predict the Gharraf lineup.
Al Zawra'a
4-3-3- 11M. Cabrera
- 99H. Abdulkareem
- 72Mohamed Sherif
- 15I. Soro
- 10Mohammed Qasim
- 77Ameer Sabah
- 3Masies Artien
- 53Ali Adnan
- 44M. Chobanov
- 25Sajjad Mahdi
- 1Ahmed Basil
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 09:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gharraf have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Al Zawra'a have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Naft(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Karbala(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Al Riffa(home) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Nasr(home) | 0-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Qatar SC(away) | 1-1 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Gharraf wins, 1 draw, 2 Al Zawra'a wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Al Zawra'a 2-0 Gharraf | Iraqi League |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Gharraf 0-1 Al Zawra'a | Iraqi League |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Al Zawra'a 0-0 Gharraf | Iraqi League |
Last archived meeting: Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf on Sep 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gharraf score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Zawra'a score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gharraf | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Al Zawra'a | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gharraf sit 14th in Iraqi League (13 points from 12 matches) and Al Zawra'a sit 4th (21 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al Zawra'a | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
| 14 | Gharraf | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Zawra'a the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Gharraf.
- Where and when is Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a played?
- Gharraf vs Al Zawra'a is played on April 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.