Al Karkh vs Diyala: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Al Saher Ahmed Radhi Stadium, Baghdād
The Footlab AI model makes Al Karkh the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Diyala. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Karkh wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Al Karkh vs Diyala?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Al Karkh (1,522) and Diyala (1,476).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Al Karkh vs Diyala
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Al Karkh
Not enough data to predict the Al Karkh lineup.
Diyala
Not enough data to predict the Diyala lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Al Karkh have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Diyala have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al-Karma(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 3-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Karbala(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Naft(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gharraf(home) | 3-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Al Karkh win, 0 draws, 3 Diyala wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2026 | Al Karkh 0-2 Diyala | Iraqi League |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Diyala 1-0 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Diyala 2-0 Al Karkh | Iraqi League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Al Karkh 3-1 Diyala | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Al Karkh score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Diyala score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Karkh | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Diyala | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Al Karkh sit 18th in Iraqi League (7 points from 8 matches) and Diyala sit 11th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 9 |
| 18 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
A question about Al Karkh vs Diyala?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Al Karkh vs Diyala?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Karkh the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Diyala.
- Where and when is Al Karkh vs Diyala played?
- Al Karkh vs Diyala is played on April 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Al Saher Ahmed Radhi Stadium, in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.