Newroz vs Naft Maysan: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Newroz the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Naft Maysan. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,937 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newroz vs Naft Maysan?
Newroz starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,593 vs 1,489).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Newroz vs Naft Maysan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Newroz
Not enough data to predict the Newroz lineup.
Naft Maysan
Not enough data to predict the Naft Maysan lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newroz have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Naft Maysan have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Zakho(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ghaz Al Shamal(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(away) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Mosul(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Erbil(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 2-3 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Al Talaba(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Newroz win, 1 draw, 1 Naft Maysan win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Naft Maysan 0-2 Newroz | Iraqi League |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Newroz 2-2 Naft Maysan | Iraqi League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Naft Maysan 1-0 Newroz | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Newroz score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Naft Maysan score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newroz | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Naft Maysan | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newroz sit 2nd in Iraqi League (21 points from 10 matches) and Naft Maysan sit 18th (8 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newroz | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 18 | Naft Maysan | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 8 |
A question about Newroz vs Naft Maysan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newroz vs Naft Maysan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Newroz the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Naft Maysan.
- Where and when is Newroz vs Naft Maysan played?
- Newroz vs Naft Maysan is played on April 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.