Ghaz Al Shamal vs Mosul: prediction and stats
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ghaz Al Shamal the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Mosul. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,160 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghaz Al Shamal vs Mosul?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Ghaz Al Shamal (1,529) and Mosul (1,499).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Mosul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ghaz Al Shamal
Not enough data to predict the Ghaz Al Shamal lineup.
Mosul
Not enough data to predict the Mosul lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Ghaz Al Shamal have 3 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Mosul have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Al Talaba(away) | 2-2 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Naft Maysan(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(away) | 0-2 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Duhok(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Al-Jolan SC(home) | 2-4 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Erbil(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 0-3 | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ghaz Al Shamal score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 13; Mosul score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghaz Al Shamal | 0.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 5/13 | 1/13 |
| Mosul | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghaz Al Shamal sit 10th in Iraqi League (16 points from 13 matches) and Mosul sit 17th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| 17 | Mosul | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 12 |
A question about Ghaz Al Shamal vs Mosul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Mosul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ghaz Al Shamal the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 25% for Mosul.
- Where and when is Ghaz Al Shamal vs Mosul played?
- Ghaz Al Shamal vs Mosul is played on April 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Iraqi League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.