Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 33Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Gorgonzola
The Footlab model makes Giana Erminio the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Athletic Carpi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Giana Erminio (1,756) and Athletic Carpi (1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Giana Erminio have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Athletic Carpi have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Trento(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Union Brescia(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Forli(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Giana Erminio win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Athletic Carpi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Giana Erminio 2-0 Athletic Carpi | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Athletic Carpi 2-0 Giana Erminio | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi on Mar 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Giana Erminio score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Carpi score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giana Erminio | 1.2 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Athletic Carpi | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Giana Erminio sit 15th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Athletic Carpi sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Giana Erminio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Athletic Carpi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi?
- The Footlab model makes Giana Erminio the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Athletic Carpi.
- Where and when is Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi played?
- Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.