Match

Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 33Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Gorgonzola

Giana ErminioAthletic Carpi

The Footlab AI model makes Giana Erminio the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Athletic Carpi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Giana Erminio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Giana Erminio (1,886) and Athletic Carpi (1,862).

38%29%33%
Giana Erminio winDrawAthletic Carpi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Giana Erminio

4-3-3
  1. 8L. Magazzu
  2. 29L. Samele
  3. 9A. Quaggio
  1. 25M. Zanchetta
  2. 11S. Comelli
  3. 10F. Renda
  1. 60E. Rovinelli
  2. 24L. Ruffini
  3. 23P. Tornaghi
  4. 19C. Mora
  1. 22Andrea Sergio Mazza

Athletic Carpi

4-3-3
  1. 90V. Vitale
  2. 18T. Carcani
  3. 83A. Sall
  1. 10F. Casarini
  2. 11F. Puletto
  3. 5M. Figoli
  1. 4D. Zagnoni
  2. 7T. Cecotti
  3. 17L. Lombardi
  4. 24Fabio Desole
  1. 1Alessandro Scacchetti

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:23 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Giana Erminio have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Athletic Carpi have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Giana Erminio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Athletic Carpi(away)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Nov 8, 2026Cittadella(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 31, 2026Alcione(home)1-3Serie C - Girone A
Oct 25, 2026Desenzano Calvina(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 19, 2026Union Brescia(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Athletic Carpi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Giana Erminio(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Nov 8, 2026Folgore Caratese(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Nov 1, 2026Renate(home)0-5Serie C - Girone A
Oct 28, 2026Ravenna(home)3-3Coppa Italia Serie C
Oct 24, 2026Alcione(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Giana Erminio win, 1 draw, 1 Athletic Carpi win.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 14, 2026Athletic Carpi 1-1 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A
Mar 5, 2023Giana Erminio 2-0 Athletic CarpiSerie D - Girone D
Oct 30, 2022Athletic Carpi 2-0 Giana ErminioSerie D - Girone D

Last archived meeting: Athletic Carpi vs Giana Erminio on Nov 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Giana Erminio score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Carpi score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Giana Erminio1.11.5211/158/15
Athletic Carpi1.31.9210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Giana Erminio sit 15th in Serie C - Girone A (13 points from 14 matches) and Athletic Carpi sit 14th (14 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Athletic Carpi14356172714
15Giana Erminio14275141813

A question about Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi?
The Footlab AI model makes Giana Erminio the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Athletic Carpi.
Where and when is Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi played?
Giana Erminio vs Athletic Carpi is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Giana Erminio and Athletic Carpi