Trento vs Lumezzane: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 33Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Briamasco, Trento
The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Lumezzane. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trento vs Lumezzane?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Trento (1,822) and Lumezzane (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trento have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Lumezzane have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Modena(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Giana Erminio(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renate(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Trento win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Lumezzane win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Trento 1-1 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Lumezzane 1-1 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Trento 2-2 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Lumezzane 0-2 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Lumezzane 0-2 Trento | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Trento 0-0 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Trento score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trento | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Lumezzane | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trento sit 6th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Lumezzane sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trento | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | Lumezzane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trento vs Lumezzane?
- The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Lumezzane.
- Where and when is Trento vs Lumezzane played?
- Trento vs Lumezzane is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Briamasco, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.