Where and when is Lecco vs Novara played?

Lecco vs Novara is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lecco vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 33Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco

Lecco

Novara

The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lecco vs Novara?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Lecco (1,770) and Novara (1,757).

Lecco win37 %

Draw31 %

Novara win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Novara have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lecco
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Arzignano Valchiampo(home)	0-0	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026	Desenzano Calvina(home)	0-0	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026	Atalanta II(home)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026	Hellas Verona(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 20, 2026	Catania(away)	3-3	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

Novara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Juventus U23(away)	0-1	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026	Alcione(away)	1-0	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 5, 2026	Virtus Entella(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Sampdoria(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Ospitaletto(away)	2-0	Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lecco win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Novara win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 15, 2026	Lecco 0-0 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Nov 9, 2025	Novara 1-0 Lecco	Serie C - Girone A
Jan 17, 2025	Lecco 1-1 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Sep 16, 2024	Novara 0-0 Lecco	Serie C - Girone A
Feb 11, 2023	Lecco 3-1 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Oct 16, 2022	Novara 1-2 Lecco	Serie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Lecco vs Novara on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lecco score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lecco	1.3	1.3	5	8/15	8/15
Novara	1.3	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lecco sit 11th in Serie C - Girone A (1 points from 1 matches) and Novara sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Lecco	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
18	Novara	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Novara?: The Footlab model makes Lecco the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Novara.
Where and when is Lecco vs Novara played?: Lecco vs Novara is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.