Match

Lecco vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 33Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, Lecco

LeccoNovara

The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lecco wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lecco vs Novara?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Lecco (1,694) and Novara (1,659).

39%30%31%
Lecco winDrawNovara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Lecco vs Novara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Lecco

4-3-3
  1. 15Alexander Murillo
  2. 10A. Capello
  3. 30N. Fasan
  1. 17G. Pellegrino
  2. 21A. Metlika
  3. 6A. Mallamo
  1. 99Giulio Manenti
  2. 45M. Rizzo
  3. 4P. Comi
  4. 5M. Arena
  1. 22T. Vettorel

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 7E. Lanini
  2. 14M. Romano
  3. 9D. Zuppel
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 11N. Ledonne
  1. 58M. Miceli
  2. 3S. Lartey
  3. 5F. Lorenzini
  4. 28A. Cannavaro
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:26 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lecco have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Novara have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lecco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Alcione(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Union Brescia(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Cittadella(away)0-3Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Pergolettese(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Desenzano Calvina(away)3-1Serie C - Girone A
Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Lumezzane(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lecco wins, 3 draws, 1 Novara win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Lecco 0-0 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Nov 9, 2025Novara 1-0 LeccoSerie C - Girone A
Jan 17, 2025Lecco 1-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Sep 16, 2024Novara 0-0 LeccoSerie C - Girone A
Feb 11, 2023Lecco 3-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Oct 16, 2022Novara 1-2 LeccoSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Lecco vs Novara on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lecco score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lecco0.91.356/156/15
Novara0.91.146/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lecco sit 12th in Serie C - Girone A (10 points from 9 matches) and Novara sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Lecco92437910
14Novara92348129

A question about Lecco vs Novara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lecco vs Novara?
The Footlab AI model makes Lecco the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Novara.
Where and when is Lecco vs Novara played?
Lecco vs Novara is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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