Match

Giana Erminio vs Renate: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 28Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Gorgonzola

Giana ErminioRenate

The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Giana Erminio. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Giana Erminio vs Renate?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Giana Erminio (1,756) and Renate (1,814).

Giana Erminio win28 %
Draw28 %
Renate win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Giana Erminio have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Renate have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Giana Erminio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Albinoleffe(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Folgore Caratese(home)1-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Jul 24, 2026Cremonese(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
May 6, 2026Lecco(away)1-2Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Trento(away)2-1Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Renate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Alcione(away)1-3Serie C - Girone A
Aug 15, 2026Lumezzane(away)2-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026Città di Varese(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 13, 2026Casarano(home)0-3Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Casarano(away)2-0Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Giana Erminio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Renate win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 10, 2026Giana Erminio 0-1 RenateSerie C - Girone A
Aug 30, 2025Renate 1-1 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A
May 7, 2025Renate 1-2 Giana ErminioSerie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Jan 18, 2025Giana Erminio 2-1 RenateSerie C - Girone A
Sep 13, 2024Renate 1-0 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A
Apr 20, 2024Renate 0-2 Giana ErminioSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Giana Erminio vs Renate on Jan 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Giana Erminio score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Renate score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Giana Erminio1.21.358/156/15
Renate1.71.368/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Giana Erminio sit 15th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Renate sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Giana Erminio1001120
16Renate1001130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Giana Erminio vs Renate?
The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Giana Erminio.
Where and when is Giana Erminio vs Renate played?
Giana Erminio vs Renate is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Giana Erminio and Renate

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