Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Desenzano Calvina: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 28Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Polisportivo, Belluno
The Footlab model makes Desenzano Calvina the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Dolomiti Bellunesi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Desenzano Calvina?
Desenzano Calvina starts as the favourite with a 217-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dolomiti Bellunesi have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Desenzano Calvina have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Treviso(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 31, 2026 | Scafatese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 24, 2026 | Scafatese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Championship Round |
| May 17, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Championship Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Dolomiti Bellunesi score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Desenzano Calvina score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Desenzano Calvina | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dolomiti Bellunesi sit 7th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Desenzano Calvina sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Desenzano Calvina?
- The Footlab model makes Desenzano Calvina the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Dolomiti Bellunesi.
- Where and when is Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Desenzano Calvina played?
- Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Desenzano Calvina is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Polisportivo, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.