Where and when is Cittadella vs Novara played?

Cittadella vs Novara is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, in the Serie C - Girone A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cittadella vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 28Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella

Cittadella

Novara

The Footlab model makes Cittadella the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cittadella vs Novara?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Cittadella (1,783) and Novara (1,757).

Cittadella win40 %

Draw29 %

Novara win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Novara have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cittadella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pergolettese(home)	2-0	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 15, 2026	Atalanta II(home)	2-2	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026	Luparense(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Padova(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Cremonese(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Novara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Juventus U23(away)	0-1	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026	Alcione(away)	1-0	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 5, 2026	Virtus Entella(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Sampdoria(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Ospitaletto(away)	2-0	Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cittadella win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Novara win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 19, 2026	Novara 0-1 Cittadella	Serie C - Girone A
Dec 14, 2025	Cittadella 2-2 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Sep 30, 2020	Cittadella 3-1 Novara	Coppa Italia
Feb 11, 2018	Cittadella 1-3 Novara	Serie B
Sep 16, 2017	Novara 1-0 Cittadella	Serie B
Feb 11, 2017	Novara 1-1 Cittadella	Serie B

Last archived meeting: Novara vs Cittadella on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cittadella score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cittadella	1.2	1.2	5	8/15	6/15
Novara	1.3	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cittadella sit 3rd in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Novara sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Cittadella	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
18	Novara	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cittadella vs Novara?: The Footlab model makes Cittadella the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Novara.
Where and when is Cittadella vs Novara played?: Cittadella vs Novara is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.