Match

Cittadella vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 28Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella

CittadellaNovara

The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cittadella vs Novara?

Cittadella starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,659).

57%26%17%
Cittadella winDrawNovara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Cittadella vs Novara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Cittadella

4-3-3
  1. 16J. Ekuban
  2. 7E. Anastasia
  3. 10M. Antonucci
  1. 4F. Toffanin
  2. 23L. Paolucci
  3. 19F. D'Alessio
  1. 43A. Ndrecka
  2. 87B. Martella
  3. 24M. Gobbato
  4. 14C. Crialese
  1. 69A. Zanellati

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 7E. Lanini
  2. 14M. Romano
  3. 9D. Zuppel
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 11N. Ledonne
  1. 58M. Miceli
  2. 3S. Lartey
  3. 5F. Lorenzini
  4. 28A. Cannavaro
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Novara have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cittadella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Novara(away)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Albinoleffe(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Lecco(home)3-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Ospitaletto(away)1-0Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Juventus U23(home)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Lumezzane(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cittadella wins, 1 draw, 2 Novara wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Novara 0-2 CittadellaSerie C - Girone A
Apr 19, 2026Novara 0-1 CittadellaSerie C - Girone A
Dec 14, 2025Cittadella 2-2 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Sep 30, 2020Cittadella 3-1 NovaraCoppa Italia
Feb 11, 2018Cittadella 1-3 NovaraSerie B
Sep 16, 2017Novara 1-0 CittadellaSerie B

Last archived meeting: Novara vs Cittadella on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cittadella score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cittadella1.70.786/156/15
Novara0.91.146/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cittadella sit 1st in Serie C - Girone A (24 points from 9 matches) and Novara sit 14th (9 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Cittadella980116424
14Novara92348129

A question about Cittadella vs Novara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cittadella vs Novara?
The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Novara.
Where and when is Cittadella vs Novara played?
Cittadella vs Novara is played on February 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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