Gicumbi vs Mukura: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Gicumbi Stadium, Byumba
The Footlab AI model makes Mukura the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Gicumbi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mukura wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gicumbi vs Mukura?
Mukura starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,657 vs 1,540).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gicumbi vs Mukura
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gicumbi
Not enough data to predict the Gicumbi lineup.
Mukura
Not enough data to predict the Mukura lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gicumbi have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Mukura have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Gorilla(away) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sunrise(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mukura(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al Merreikh(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gicumbi win, 1 draw, 4 Mukura wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Mukura 1-0 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2026 | Gicumbi 3-2 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Mukura 2-0 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| May 23, 2022 | Mukura 1-0 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
| Jan 20, 2022 | Gicumbi 1-1 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Mukura 3-0 Gicumbi | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gicumbi score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mukura score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gicumbi | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Mukura | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gicumbi sit 1st in National Soccer League (13 points from 7 matches) and Mukura sit 2nd (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gicumbi | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Mukura | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
A question about Gicumbi vs Mukura?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gicumbi vs Mukura?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mukura the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Gicumbi.
- Where and when is Gicumbi vs Mukura played?
- Gicumbi vs Mukura is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Gicumbi Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.