Gasogi United vs Marines: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, Kigali
The Footlab AI model makes Marines the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Gasogi United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marines wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,228 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gasogi United vs Marines?
Marines starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,672 vs 1,561).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gasogi United vs Marines
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gasogi United
Not enough data to predict the Gasogi United lineup.
Marines
Not enough data to predict the Marines lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gasogi United have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Marines have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | APR(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Marines(away) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Gorilla(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bugesera(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Police(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Rayon Sports(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Al Hilal Omdurman(home) | 3-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 2-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Etincelles(away) | 4-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gasogi United wins, 2 draws, 2 Marines wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Marines 2-2 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
| May 1, 2026 | Marines 2-2 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Gasogi United 0-2 Marines | National Soccer League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Marines 3-0 Gasogi United | National Soccer League |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Gasogi United 1-0 Marines | National Soccer League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Gasogi United 2-0 Marines | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Marines vs Gasogi United on Oct 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gasogi United score 1.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Marines score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gasogi United | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Marines | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gasogi United sit 15th in National Soccer League (7 points from 8 matches) and Marines sit 1st (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marines | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 14 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Gasogi United vs Marines?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gasogi United vs Marines?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marines the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Gasogi United.
- Where and when is Gasogi United vs Marines played?
- Gasogi United vs Marines is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Régional de Nyamirambo, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.