Etoile de l'Est vs APR: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes APR the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Etoile de l'Est. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Etoile de l'Est vs APR?
APR is a heavy favourite: 1,817 Elo points against 1,508, a 309-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Etoile de l'Est vs APR
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Etoile de l'Est
Not enough data to predict the Etoile de l'Est lineup.
APR
Not enough data to predict the APR lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 11:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Etoile de l'Est have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; APR have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Mukura(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AS Kigali(home) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| May 11, 2024 | Bugesera(home) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Marines(home) | 4-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | JSK(home) | 3-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | JSK(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Vipers(home) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Etoile de l'Est wins, 1 draw, 3 APR wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | APR 1-0 Etoile de l'Est | National Soccer League |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Etoile de l'Est 0-1 APR | National Soccer League |
| May 1, 2022 | APR 3-1 Etoile de l'Est | National Soccer League |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Etoile de l'Est 2-2 APR | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: APR vs Etoile de l'Est on Mar 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Etoile de l'Est score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; APR score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etoile de l'Est | 0.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| APR | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Etoile de l'Est sit 16th in National Soccer League (2 points from 4 matches) and APR sit 13th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | APR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Etoile de l'Est | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
A question about Etoile de l'Est vs APR?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Etoile de l'Est vs APR?
- The Footlab AI model makes APR the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Etoile de l'Est.
- Where and when is Etoile de l'Est vs APR played?
- Etoile de l'Est vs APR is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.