Musanze vs Etincelles: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ubworoherane Football Stadium, Musanze
The Footlab AI model makes Musanze the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Etincelles. The most likely score is 1-1. If Musanze wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,094 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Musanze vs Etincelles?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Musanze (1,618) and Etincelles (1,595).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Musanze vs Etincelles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Musanze
Not enough data to predict the Musanze lineup.
Etincelles
Not enough data to predict the Etincelles lineup.
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 10:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Musanze have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Etincelles have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 3-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Rayon Sports(away) | 0-3 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Police(home) | 2-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kiyovu Sports(home) | 0-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | APR(home) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marines(home) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bugesera(away) | 0-2 | National Soccer League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Musanze(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Musanze wins, 2 draws, 4 Etincelles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Etincelles 1-0 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Etincelles 1-0 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Musanze 1-3 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| May 1, 2025 | Etincelles 3-0 Musanze | National Soccer League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Musanze 0-0 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Musanze 1-1 Etincelles | National Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Etincelles vs Musanze on Sep 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Musanze score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Etincelles score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musanze | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Etincelles | 1.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Musanze sit 8th in National Soccer League (9 points from 7 matches) and Etincelles sit 16th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Musanze | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 |
| 16 | Etincelles | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Musanze vs Etincelles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Musanze vs Etincelles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Musanze the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Etincelles.
- Where and when is Musanze vs Etincelles played?
- Musanze vs Etincelles is played on May 8, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ubworoherane Football Stadium, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.