Mukura vs Sunrise: prediction and stats
National Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Huye, Butare
The Footlab AI model makes Mukura the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 20% for Sunrise. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,152 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mukura vs Sunrise?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Mukura (1,652) and Sunrise (1,559).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mukura vs Sunrise
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mukura
Not enough data to predict the Mukura lineup.
Sunrise
Not enough data to predict the Sunrise lineup.
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 11:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mukura have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Sunrise have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | AS Kigali(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Al Merreikh(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Gicumbi(home) | 1-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(away) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 2-1 | National Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Al Merreikh(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Gicumbi(away) | 0-0 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Etoile de l'Est(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amagaju(away) | 0-4 | National Soccer League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Gasogi United(home) | 1-1 | National Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mukura wins, 1 draw, 1 Sunrise win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | Sunrise 2-4 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Mukura 1-0 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Mukura 2-1 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| Oct 13, 2022 | Sunrise 1-2 Mukura | National Soccer League |
| May 24, 2021 | Mukura 1-1 Sunrise | National Soccer League |
| May 10, 2021 | Sunrise 4-2 Mukura | National Soccer League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mukura score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sunrise score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mukura | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sunrise | 0.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mukura sit 3rd in National Soccer League (12 points from 7 matches) and Sunrise sit 9th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mukura | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 9 | Sunrise | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Mukura vs Sunrise?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mukura vs Sunrise?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mukura the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 20% for Sunrise.
- Where and when is Mukura vs Sunrise played?
- Mukura vs Sunrise is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Huye, in the National Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.