Match

Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 27Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Senger Arena, Münster

GievenbeckASC Dortmund

The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Gievenbeck. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund?

ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,724).

Gievenbeck win34 %
Draw23 %
ASC Dortmund win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gievenbeck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; ASC Dortmund have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gievenbeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Erkenschwick(home)0-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Maaslingen(home)3-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Ennepetal(away)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 30, 2026Arminia II(home)3-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Verl II(away)3-3Oberliga - Westfalen
ASC Dortmund
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away)4-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Vreden(away)2-5Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Maaslingen(away)1-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Ennepetal(away)1-1Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026Vreden(home)1-0Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gievenbeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 ASC Dortmund win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 21, 2026Gievenbeck 1-1 ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen
Aug 31, 2025ASC Dortmund 1-0 GievenbeckOberliga - Westfalen
May 11, 2025Gievenbeck 2-3 ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen
Nov 23, 2024ASC Dortmund 3-2 GievenbeckOberliga - Westfalen
May 12, 2024ASC Dortmund 1-0 GievenbeckOberliga - Westfalen
Nov 19, 2023Gievenbeck 0-1 ASC DortmundOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund on Feb 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gievenbeck score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gievenbeck1.91.6211/1510/15
ASC Dortmund1.81.5411/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gievenbeck sit 9th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and ASC Dortmund sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Gievenbeck3111434
16ASC Dortmund2002380

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund?
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Gievenbeck.
Where and when is Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund played?
Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Senger Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gievenbeck and ASC Dortmund

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