Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 27Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Senger Arena, Münster
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Gievenbeck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund?
ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,864 vs 1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gievenbeck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; ASC Dortmund have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maaslingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Vreden(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Gievenbeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 ASC Dortmund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Gievenbeck 1-1 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 31, 2025 | ASC Dortmund 1-0 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 11, 2025 | Gievenbeck 2-3 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 23, 2024 | ASC Dortmund 3-2 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 12, 2024 | ASC Dortmund 1-0 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Gievenbeck 0-1 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gievenbeck score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gievenbeck | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| ASC Dortmund | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gievenbeck sit 9th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and ASC Dortmund sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Gievenbeck | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | ASC Dortmund | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund?
- The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Gievenbeck.
- Where and when is Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund played?
- Gievenbeck vs ASC Dortmund is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Senger Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027MaaslingenvsVictoria Clarholz
- Apr 11, 2027Westfalia KinderhausvsVerl II
- Apr 11, 2027Lippstadt 08vsSprockhovel
- Apr 11, 2027ErkenschwickvsHiltrup
- Apr 11, 2027Preußen Münster IIvsArminia II
- Apr 11, 2027SchermbeckvsEintracht Rheine
- Apr 11, 2027EnnepetalvsVreden
- Apr 11, 2027TuS HordelvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen