Gievenbeck vs TuS Hordel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 17Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Senger Arena, Münster
The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for TuS Hordel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gievenbeck vs TuS Hordel?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Gievenbeck (1,724) and TuS Hordel (1,747).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gievenbeck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; TuS Hordel have 1, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maaslingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Preußen Münster II(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Westfalia Kinderhaus(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Gievenbeck score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; TuS Hordel score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gievenbeck | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| TuS Hordel | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 2/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gievenbeck sit 9th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and TuS Hordel sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Gievenbeck | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | TuS Hordel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gievenbeck vs TuS Hordel?
- The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for TuS Hordel.
- Where and when is Gievenbeck vs TuS Hordel played?
- Gievenbeck vs TuS Hordel is played on December 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Senger Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026Arminia IIvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- Dec 13, 2026ErkenschwickvsLippstadt 08
- Dec 13, 2026HiltrupvsASC Dortmund
- Dec 13, 2026Preußen Münster IIvsEintracht Rheine
- Dec 13, 2026Victoria ClarholzvsSprockhovel
- Dec 13, 2026Westfalia KinderhausvsSchermbeck
- Dec 13, 2026EnnepetalvsMaaslingen
- Dec 13, 2026Verl IIvsVreden