Verl II vs Vreden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 17Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl
The Footlab model makes Verl II the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Vreden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Verl II vs Vreden?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Verl II (1,643) and Vreden (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Vreden have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Rheine(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sprockhovel(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hannover 96 II(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 17, 2026 | Rot Weiss Ahlen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Verl II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vreden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Vreden 1-4 Verl II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Verl II 2-1 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 11, 2025 | Verl II 0-6 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Vreden 0-2 Verl II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Verl II score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verl II | 1.4 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Vreden | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Verl II sit 5th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 3 matches) and Vreden sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vreden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Verl II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Verl II vs Vreden?
- The Footlab model makes Verl II the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Vreden.
- Where and when is Verl II vs Vreden played?
- Verl II vs Vreden is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 13, 2026Arminia IIvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- Dec 13, 2026ErkenschwickvsLippstadt 08
- Dec 13, 2026GievenbeckvsTuS Hordel
- Dec 13, 2026HiltrupvsASC Dortmund
- Dec 13, 2026Preußen Münster IIvsEintracht Rheine
- Dec 13, 2026Victoria ClarholzvsSprockhovel
- Dec 13, 2026Westfalia KinderhausvsSchermbeck
- Dec 13, 2026EnnepetalvsMaaslingen