Match

Verl II vs Vreden: prediction and stats

Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 17Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)SPORTCLUB Arena, Verl

Verl IIVreden

The Footlab model makes Verl II the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Vreden. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Verl II vs Vreden?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Verl II (1,643) and Vreden (1,658).

Verl II win44 %
Draw23 %
Vreden win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Verl II have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Vreden have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Verl II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Rheine(away)1-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026Sprockhovel(home)3-1Oberliga - Westfalen
Jul 11, 2026Hannover 96 II(away)0-8Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026Gievenbeck(home)3-3Oberliga - Westfalen
May 17, 2026Rot Weiss Ahlen(home)1-4Oberliga - Westfalen
Vreden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Maaslingen(away)2-5Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 16, 2026ASC Dortmund(home)5-2Oberliga - Westfalen
Aug 9, 2026Hiltrup(home)2-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 31, 2026Erkenschwick(home)3-0Oberliga - Westfalen
May 25, 2026ASC Dortmund(away)0-1Oberliga - Westfalen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Verl II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vreden win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 19, 2026Vreden 1-4 Verl IIOberliga - Westfalen
Nov 2, 2025Verl II 2-1 VredenOberliga - Westfalen
May 11, 2025Verl II 0-6 VredenOberliga - Westfalen
Nov 23, 2024Vreden 0-2 Verl IIOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Vreden vs Verl II on Apr 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Verl II score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Verl II1.42.038/159/15
Vreden1.62.148/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Verl II sit 5th in Oberliga - Westfalen (6 points from 3 matches) and Vreden sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Vreden2200726
5Verl II3201646

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Verl II vs Vreden?
The Footlab model makes Verl II the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Vreden.
Where and when is Verl II vs Vreden played?
Verl II vs Vreden is played on December 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at SPORTCLUB Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Verl II and Vreden

Ready to know everything about football?