Hiltrup vs ASC Dortmund: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 17Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz TuS Hiltrup, Münster
The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Hiltrup. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hiltrup vs ASC Dortmund?
ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 254-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,610).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hiltrup have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; ASC Dortmund have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sprockhovel(away) | 0-7 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Sprockhovel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Vreden(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hiltrup win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 ASC Dortmund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Hiltrup 1-4 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 14, 2025 | ASC Dortmund 2-0 Hiltrup | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Hiltrup vs ASC Dortmund on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hiltrup score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; ASC Dortmund score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hiltrup | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 3/15 | 7/15 |
| ASC Dortmund | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hiltrup sit 18th in Oberliga - Westfalen (0 points from 3 matches) and ASC Dortmund sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | ASC Dortmund | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 | Hiltrup | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hiltrup vs ASC Dortmund?
- The Footlab model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Hiltrup.
- Where and when is Hiltrup vs ASC Dortmund played?
- Hiltrup vs ASC Dortmund is played on December 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz TuS Hiltrup, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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