GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Varnamo: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)NP3 Arena, Sundsvall
The Footlab model makes IFK Varnamo the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for GIF Sundsvall. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Varnamo?
IFK Varnamo starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,605 vs 1,502).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GIF Sundsvall have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; IFK Varnamo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Osters IF(away) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FBK Karlstad(away) | 0-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Helsingborg(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(away) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 0-5 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Växjö Norra(away) | 3-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Helsingborg(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 3-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 GIF Sundsvall win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 IFK Varnamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | IFK Varnamo 3-0 GIF Sundsvall | Superettan |
| Oct 19, 2022 | GIF Sundsvall 1-2 IFK Varnamo | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 11, 2022 | IFK Varnamo 1-1 GIF Sundsvall | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 14, 2021 | GIF Sundsvall 2-0 IFK Varnamo | Superettan |
| Apr 18, 2021 | IFK Varnamo 2-1 GIF Sundsvall | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: IFK Varnamo vs GIF Sundsvall on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GIF Sundsvall score 0.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Varnamo score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIF Sundsvall | 0.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| IFK Varnamo | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GIF Sundsvall sit 16th in Superettan (10 points from 20 matches) and IFK Varnamo sit 15th (19 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | IFK Varnamo | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 19 |
| 16 | GIF Sundsvall | 20 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 44 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Varnamo?
- The Footlab model makes IFK Varnamo the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for GIF Sundsvall.
- Where and when is GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Varnamo played?
- GIF Sundsvall vs IFK Varnamo is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at NP3 Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.