Sandviken vs Ostersunds FK: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Arena Jernvallen, Sandviken
The Footlab model makes Sandviken the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ostersunds FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sandviken vs Ostersunds FK?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Sandviken (1,647) and Ostersunds FK (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sandviken have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ostersunds FK have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Norrby IF(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | IF Karlstad(away) | 2-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(home) | 1-4 | Superettan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(away) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 5-0 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ljungskile SK(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 7, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Osters IF(home) | 1-0 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Sandviken win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ostersunds FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Ostersunds FK 2-1 Sandviken | Superettan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Sandviken 5-0 Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
| May 17, 2025 | Ostersunds FK 2-2 Sandviken | Superettan |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Sandviken 3-1 Ostersunds FK | Superettan |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Ostersunds FK 0-2 Sandviken | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Ostersunds FK vs Sandviken on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sandviken score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ostersunds FK score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sandviken | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ostersunds FK | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sandviken sit 9th in Superettan (26 points from 20 matches) and Ostersunds FK sit 4th (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 34 |
| 9 | Sandviken | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 30 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sandviken vs Ostersunds FK?
- The Footlab model makes Sandviken the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Ostersunds FK.
- Where and when is Sandviken vs Ostersunds FK played?
- Sandviken vs Ostersunds FK is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Jernvallen, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.