Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Påskbergsvallen, Varberg
The Footlab model makes Varbergs BoIS FC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Helsingborg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg?
Varbergs BoIS FC starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,733 vs 1,609).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varbergs BoIS FC have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Helsingborg have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Böljan(away) | 5-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United Nordic(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oddevold(away) | 1-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(home) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(away) | 0-2 | Superettan |
| Jul 28, 2026 | United Nordic(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Varbergs BoIS FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Helsingborg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Helsingborg 1-3 Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| Jul 28, 2025 | Helsingborg 1-2 Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| May 3, 2025 | Varbergs BoIS FC 1-0 Helsingborg | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Varbergs BoIS FC 0-3 Helsingborg | Superettan |
| Jun 28, 2024 | Helsingborg 1-0 Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Varbergs BoIS FC 2-3 Helsingborg | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Helsingborg vs Varbergs BoIS FC on May 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Varbergs BoIS FC score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Helsingborg score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Helsingborg | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varbergs BoIS FC sit 3rd in Superettan (34 points from 20 matches) and Helsingborg sit 10th (25 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 34 |
| 10 | Helsingborg | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg?
- The Footlab model makes Varbergs BoIS FC the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Helsingborg.
- Where and when is Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg played?
- Varbergs BoIS FC vs Helsingborg is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Påskbergsvallen, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.