IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)PlatinumCars Arena, Norrköping
The Footlab AI model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Orebro SK. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK?
IFK Norrkoping starts as the favourite with a 265-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,647).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
IFK Norrkoping
4-3-3- 5C. Nyman
- 6V. Christiansson
- 11E. Jemal
- 8R. Nelson
- 34N. Sernelius
- 38T. Sandberg
- 24A. Eriksson
- 23A. Opsahl
- 3Olle Falth Viggo
- 4J. Weber
- 1T. Krantz
Known absences
M. NeffatiOut · Wound
Orebro SK
5-3-2- 10R. Wiedesheim-Paul
- 17K. Holmberg
- 23E. Rakip
- 7S. Wikman
- 99Ahmed Yasin Ghani Mousa
- 32J. Stenberg
- 19J. Haliti
- 20M. Watson
- 2Alai Ghasem
- 12D. Salihović
- 75J. Ojrzyński
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IFK Norrkoping have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Orebro SK have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 4-0 | Superettan |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Kalmar FF(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Osters IF(away) | 3-1 | Superettan |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Oddevold(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(away) | 2-0 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ljungskile SK(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Oct 3, 2026 | United Nordic(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 2-4 | Superettan |
| Sep 14, 2026 | United Nordic(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Sep 10, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(away) | 3-0 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 IFK Norrkoping wins, 0 draws, 2 Orebro SK wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Orebro SK 2-1 IFK Norrkoping | Superettan |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IFK Norrkoping 4-2 Orebro SK | Svenska Cupen |
| Sep 19, 2021 | IFK Norrkoping 3-0 Orebro SK | Allsvenskan |
| Jun 24, 2021 | IFK Norrkoping 1-0 Orebro SK | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2021 | Orebro SK 0-3 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 30, 2020 | Orebro SK 4-3 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IFK Norrkoping score 2.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Orebro SK score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Norrkoping | 2.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Orebro SK | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IFK Norrkoping sit 1st in Superettan (58 points from 26 matches) and Orebro SK sit 15th (25 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 16 | 58 |
| 15 | Orebro SK | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 40 | 25 |
A question about IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK?
- The Footlab AI model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Orebro SK.
- Where and when is IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK played?
- IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK is played on October 20, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at PlatinumCars Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.