IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)PlatinumCars Arena, Norrköping
The Footlab model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Orebro SK. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK?
IFK Norrkoping starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IFK Norrkoping have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Orebro SK have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 4-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 3-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helsingborg(home) | 2-0 | Superettan |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(away) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 4-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | IK brage(away) | 3-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Norrby IF(away) | 1-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(home) | 1-3 | Superettan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Oddevold(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 IFK Norrkoping win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Orebro SK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Orebro SK 2-1 IFK Norrkoping | Superettan |
| Feb 22, 2025 | IFK Norrkoping 4-2 Orebro SK | Svenska Cupen |
| Sep 19, 2021 | IFK Norrkoping 3-0 Orebro SK | Allsvenskan |
| Jun 24, 2021 | IFK Norrkoping 1-0 Orebro SK | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2021 | Orebro SK 0-3 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 30, 2020 | Orebro SK 4-3 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Orebro SK vs IFK Norrkoping on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IFK Norrkoping score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Orebro SK score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Norrkoping | 1.9 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Orebro SK | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IFK Norrkoping sit 1st in Superettan (41 points from 19 matches) and Orebro SK sit 15th (16 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 11 | 41 |
| 15 | Orebro SK | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 31 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK?
- The Footlab model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Orebro SK.
- Where and when is IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK played?
- IFK Norrkoping vs Orebro SK is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at PlatinumCars Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.