Gijón Industrial vs Lealtad: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 · Matchday 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Cruz, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Lealtad the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Gijón Industrial. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lealtad wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,555 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gijón Industrial vs Lealtad?
Lealtad starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,666).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gijón Industrial vs Lealtad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gijón Industrial
4-3-3- AAdrián Rueda Colunga
- JJosé Naya
- DDiego Sánchez
- BBorja López Prieto
- BBabafemo Fofana
- SSanti Otero
- PPablo Bango
- JJuan Runza
- JJoaquin Flórez
- JJ. Korbla
- DDiego García Bravo
Lealtad
Not enough data to predict the Lealtad lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 07:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gijón Industrial have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lealtad have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | San Martín(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Siero(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Colunga(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Langreo(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Gijón Industrial win, 2 draws, 2 Lealtad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | Lealtad 3-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Gijón Industrial 2-2 Lealtad | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Lealtad 1-0 Gijón Industrial | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Gijón Industrial 2-0 Lealtad | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Gijón Industrial 0-0 Lealtad | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Lealtad vs Gijón Industrial on Apr 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Gijón Industrial score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lealtad score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gijón Industrial | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lealtad | 1.6 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gijón Industrial sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (17 points from 10 matches) and Lealtad sit 3rd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lealtad | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Gijón Industrial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 17 |
A question about Gijón Industrial vs Lealtad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gijón Industrial vs Lealtad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lealtad the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Gijón Industrial.
- Where and when is Gijón Industrial vs Lealtad played?
- Gijón Industrial vs Lealtad is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Cruz, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.