Mosconia vs Avilés Stadium: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, Grado, Asturias
The Footlab model makes Mosconia the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Avilés Stadium. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mosconia vs Avilés Stadium?
Mosconia starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,776 vs 1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mosconia have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Avilés Stadium have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Covadonga(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 17, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 10, 2026 | Navarro(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Llanera(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Real Titánico(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Llanes(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mosconia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Avilés Stadium win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Avilés Stadium 2-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Mosconia 2-0 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Avilés Stadium 1-3 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Mosconia 3-1 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Avilés Stadium 0-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Mosconia 2-0 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Avilés Stadium vs Mosconia on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mosconia score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Avilés Stadium score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosconia | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Avilés Stadium | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mosconia sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (56 points from 34 matches) and Avilés Stadium sit 13th (33 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mosconia | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 27 | 56 |
| 13 | Avilés Stadium | 34 | 6 | 15 | 13 | 21 | 40 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mosconia vs Avilés Stadium?
- The Footlab model makes Mosconia the favourite at 61%, against 26% for a draw and 13% for Avilés Stadium.
- Where and when is Mosconia vs Avilés Stadium played?
- Mosconia vs Avilés Stadium is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.