Mosconia vs Avilés Stadium: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, Grado, Asturias
The Footlab AI model makes Mosconia the favourite at 64%, against 25% for a draw and 11% for Avilés Stadium. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mosconia vs Avilés Stadium?
Mosconia starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,733 vs 1,582).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mosconia vs Avilés Stadium
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mosconia
Not enough data to predict the Mosconia lineup.
Avilés Stadium
Not enough data to predict the Avilés Stadium lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mosconia have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Avilés Stadium have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ceares(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Astur(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Andes(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Condal(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llanes(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Praviano(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | L'Entregu(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Mosconia wins, 1 draw, 1 Avilés Stadium win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Avilés Stadium 2-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Mosconia 2-0 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Avilés Stadium 1-3 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Mosconia 3-1 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Avilés Stadium 0-0 Mosconia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 15, 2020 | Mosconia 2-0 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Avilés Stadium vs Mosconia on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mosconia score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Avilés Stadium score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosconia | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Avilés Stadium | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mosconia sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (12 points from 6 matches) and Avilés Stadium sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mosconia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
| 16 | Avilés Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 3 |
A question about Mosconia vs Avilés Stadium?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mosconia vs Avilés Stadium?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mosconia the favourite at 64%, against 25% for a draw and 11% for Avilés Stadium.
- Where and when is Mosconia vs Avilés Stadium played?
- Mosconia vs Avilés Stadium is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Marqués de La Vega de Anzo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.