Colunga vs Llanes: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santianes, Colunga
The Footlab AI model makes Colunga the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Llanes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colunga wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,356 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colunga vs Llanes?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Colunga (1,630) and Llanes (1,566).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colunga vs Llanes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colunga
Not enough data to predict the Colunga lineup.
Llanes
4-3-3- PPablo Prieto
- SSergio Ríos
- AA. Al Moukhtar
- LLuis Piedralba
- MMíchel Secades
- PPablo Maya
- RRafael Felgueroso
- PPelayo Pedrayes
- PPablo Álvarez
- PPacoli
- MM. Kania
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colunga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Llanes have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 5-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 4-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Condal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gijón Industrial(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Colunga wins, 0 draws, 3 Llanes wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Llanes 2-1 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Colunga 1-4 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Colunga 1-2 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Llanes 1-2 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Colunga 2-0 Llanes | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Llanes 1-3 Colunga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Colunga score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Llanes score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colunga | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Llanes | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colunga sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (11 points from 6 matches) and Llanes sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colunga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 12 | 11 |
| 15 | Llanes | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
A question about Colunga vs Llanes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colunga vs Llanes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colunga the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Llanes.
- Where and when is Colunga vs Llanes played?
- Colunga vs Llanes is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santianes, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.