Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 8Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario, Provincia de Santa Fe
The Footlab model makes Rosario Central the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Newells Old Boys. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys?
Rosario Central starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rosario Central have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Newells Old Boys have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Barracas Central(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Aldosivi(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | River Plate(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Boca Juniors(home) | 2-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Independiente(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Rosario Central win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Newells Old Boys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Newells Old Boys 0-2 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Rosario Central 1-0 Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Newells Old Boys 1-2 Rosario Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Rosario Central 1-0 Newells Old Boys | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Newells Old Boys 0-1 Rosario Central | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Rosario Central 1-0 Newells Old Boys | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
Last archived meeting: Newells Old Boys vs Rosario Central on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rosario Central score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Newells Old Boys score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Newells Old Boys | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rosario Central sit 4th in Liga Profesional Argentina (28 points from 16 matches) and Newells Old Boys sit 14th (15 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rosario Central | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| 5 | Newells Old Boys | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys?
- The Footlab model makes Rosario Central the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Newells Old Boys.
- Where and when is Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys played?
- Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys is played on September 6, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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