Gimnastic vs Rayo Majadahonda: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Costa Daurada, Tarragona
The Footlab AI model makes Gimnastic the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Rayo Majadahonda. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gimnastic wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnastic vs Rayo Majadahonda?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Gimnastic (1,850) and Rayo Majadahonda (1,921).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gimnastic vs Rayo Majadahonda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gimnastic
4-3-3- 17Alex Almansa
- 12S. Bakış
- 20C. Segura
- 16M. Babanzila
- 8Marc Montalvo
- 10Eugeni Valderrama
- 23Manel Royo
- 22Joseda
- 5Nico van Rijn
- 21I. Athuman
- 1Gaizka Ayesa
Rayo Majadahonda
4-5-1- 19M. Gonzaga
- 18Tarsi
- 6David del Pozo
- 14Y. Yoshimura
- 15N. Celorio
- 22Rubén Quintanilla
- 4Dani Ramos
- 5D. Gallardo
- 20Sotillos
- 23Juan Durán
- 13Miguel Prieto
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 03:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnastic have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Rayo Majadahonda have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Huesca(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 4-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ciudad de Lucena(away) | 1-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Murcia(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Gimnastic win, 1 draw, 2 Rayo Majadahonda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2024 | Gimnastic 1-0 Rayo Majadahonda | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Rayo Majadahonda 1-1 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Feb 2, 2019 | Rayo Majadahonda 1-0 Gimnastic | Segunda División |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Gimnastic 0-1 Rayo Majadahonda | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Gimnastic vs Rayo Majadahonda on May 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnastic score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rayo Majadahonda score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Rayo Majadahonda | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnastic sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (14 points from 10 matches) and Rayo Majadahonda sit 17th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Gimnastic | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
| 17 | Rayo Majadahonda | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Gimnastic vs Rayo Majadahonda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnastic vs Rayo Majadahonda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gimnastic the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Rayo Majadahonda.
- Where and when is Gimnastic vs Rayo Majadahonda played?
- Gimnastic vs Rayo Majadahonda is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Costa Daurada, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.