Águilas vs Atlético Madrid II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 · Matchday 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rubial, Águilas
The Footlab AI model makes Águilas the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Atlético Madrid II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Águilas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águilas vs Atlético Madrid II?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Águilas (1,876) and Atlético Madrid II (1,898).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Águilas vs Atlético Madrid II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Águilas
4-3-3- 10Javi Castedo
- 11Josema Raigal
- 7Sergio Sanchís
- 6Y. El Arbaoui
- 8Mario Abenza
- 21A. Heredia
- 3José Mas
- 2Johan Terranova
- 23H. Martinez
- 4Antonio Sánchez
- 13Jose Salcedo
Atlético Madrid II
4-3-3- 19Marc Domenech
- 10M. Llorente
- 11Ãlvaro Santos
- 15David García
- 21I. Kamate
- 8J. Castillo
- 22Arnau Solà
- 14R. Hueso
- 29M. Gil Rodriguez
- 4A. Yaakobishvili
- 13Ander Astralaga
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 04:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Atlético Madrid II have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 0-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Europa Fc(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 4-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Águilas score 0.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Madrid II score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas | 0.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Atlético Madrid II | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águilas sit 17th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (9 points from 11 matches) and Atlético Madrid II sit 15th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Atlético Madrid II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 11 |
| 17 | Águilas | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Águilas vs Atlético Madrid II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águilas vs Atlético Madrid II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Águilas the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Atlético Madrid II.
- Where and when is Águilas vs Atlético Madrid II played?
- Águilas vs Atlético Madrid II is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.