Real Murcia vs Villarreal II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
The Footlab model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Villarreal II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Villarreal II?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Real Murcia (1,931) and Villarreal II (1,973).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Murcia have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Villarreal II have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 31, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Real Murcia win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Villarreal II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Villarreal II 1-1 Real Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Real Murcia 1-1 Villarreal II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Real Murcia 1-0 Villarreal II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Villarreal II 0-1 Real Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Real Murcia 3-1 Villarreal II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal II vs Real Murcia on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Murcia score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal II score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Villarreal II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Murcia sit 10th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (52 points from 38 matches) and Villarreal II sit 4th (63 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal II | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 54 | 32 | 63 |
| 10 | Real Murcia | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 40 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Murcia vs Villarreal II?
- The Footlab model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Villarreal II.
- Where and when is Real Murcia vs Villarreal II played?
- Real Murcia vs Villarreal II is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.