Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Malecón, Torrelavega
The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Llanera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Gimnástica Torrelavega (1,975) and Llanera (2,001).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnástica Torrelavega have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Llanera have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sestao River(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basconia(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Barquereño(away) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Avilés Stadium(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tuilla(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Titánico(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Gimnástica Torrelavega win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Llanera win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Gimnástica Torrelavega 0-0 Llanera | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Llanera 2-1 Gimnástica Torrelavega | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera on Mar 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnástica Torrelavega score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Llanera score 1.9 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnástica Torrelavega | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Llanera | 1.9 | 0.4 | 11 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnástica Torrelavega the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Llanera.
- Where and when is Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera played?
- Gimnástica Torrelavega vs Llanera is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Malecón, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.