Gimpo Citizen vs Busan I Park: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 27Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Gimpo Stadium, Gimpo
The Footlab model makes Gimpo Citizen the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Busan I Park. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimpo Citizen vs Busan I Park?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Gimpo Citizen (1,684) and Busan I Park (1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimpo Citizen have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Busan I Park have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Cheonan City(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cheongju(home) | 3-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Incheon United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Daegu FC(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hwaseong(home) | 0-0 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Yongin City(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(home) | 1-2 | K League 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gimpo Citizen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Busan I Park win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Busan I Park 2-0 Gimpo Citizen | K League 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Busan I Park 4-1 Gimpo Citizen | K League 2 |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Gimpo Citizen 3-0 Busan I Park | K League 2 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Busan I Park 0-0 Gimpo Citizen | K League 2 |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Busan I Park 0-0 Gimpo Citizen | K League 2 |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Gimpo Citizen 1-0 Busan I Park | K League 2 |
Last archived meeting: Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimpo Citizen score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Busan I Park score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimpo Citizen | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Busan I Park | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimpo Citizen sit 8th in K League 2 (31 points from 21 matches) and Busan I Park sit 5th (38 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Busan I Park | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 30 | 38 |
| 8 | Gimpo Citizen | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimpo Citizen vs Busan I Park?
- The Footlab model makes Gimpo Citizen the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Busan I Park.
- Where and when is Gimpo Citizen vs Busan I Park played?
- Gimpo Citizen vs Busan I Park is played on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Gimpo Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.