Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen: prediction and stats
K League 2Regular Season - 27Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Gimhae Civil Stadium, Gimhae
The Footlab model makes Paju Citizen the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gimhae City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Gimhae City (1,608) and Paju Citizen (1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimhae City have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Paju Citizen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Suwon City FC(away) | 0-2 | K League 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gyeongnam FC(home) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Suwon Bluewings(away) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(away) | 2-2 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Seoul E-Land FC(away) | 1-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Seongnam FC(home) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Suwon City FC(home) | 0-1 | K League 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jeonnam Dragons(away) | 2-1 | K League 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bucheon FC 1995(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gimhae City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Paju Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Paju Citizen 3-1 Gimhae City | K League 2 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Gimhae City 2-0 Paju Citizen | K3 League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Paju Citizen 1-2 Gimhae City | K3 League |
| Jul 28, 2024 | Paju Citizen 1-1 Gimhae City | K3 League |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Gimhae City 1-0 Paju Citizen | K3 League |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Paju Citizen 1-2 Gimhae City | K3 League |
Last archived meeting: Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimhae City score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paju Citizen score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimhae City | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Paju Citizen | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimhae City sit 17th in K League 2 (12 points from 21 matches) and Paju Citizen sit 11th (25 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Paju Citizen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 25 |
| 17 | Gimhae City | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 40 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Paju Citizen the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gimhae City.
- Where and when is Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen played?
- Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen is played on September 20, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Gimhae Civil Stadium, in the K League 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.