Valladolid vs Tenerife: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, Valladolid
The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Valladolid. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tenerife wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,680 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Valladolid vs Tenerife?
Tenerife starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (2,026 vs 1,908).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Valladolid vs Tenerife
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Valladolid
4-1-3-2- 19Adrian Arnuncio
- 9Juanmi Latasa
- 21J. Ponceau
- 24S. Jurić
- 8T. Ojeda
- 30Víctor Fernández
- 4David Torres
- 27Iván Garriel
- 15Pablo Tomeo
- 14Iván Alejo
- 1Álvaro Aceves
Tenerife
4-4-2- 18Enric Gallego
- 17C. Gomis
- 10Nacho Gil
- 6Juanjo
- 29Daniel Fernández
- 20M. Pittón
- 12A. Landázuri
- 2David Rodríguez
- 19César Álvarez
- 27N. Viereck
- 1Dani Martín
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 03:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valladolid have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tenerife have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 5-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Valladolid wins, 1 draw, 3 Tenerife wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2024 | Tenerife 2-1 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Valladolid 2-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Tenerife 1-4 Valladolid | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Valladolid 0-2 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Jan 22, 2020 | Tenerife 2-1 Valladolid | Copa del Rey |
| Jan 28, 2018 | Tenerife 0-0 Valladolid | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Tenerife vs Valladolid on Jun 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Valladolid score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tenerife | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Valladolid sit 15th in Segunda División (12 points from 11 matches) and Tenerife sit 12th (14 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tenerife | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 14 |
| 15 | Valladolid | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Valladolid vs Tenerife?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Valladolid vs Tenerife?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Valladolid.
- Where and when is Valladolid vs Tenerife played?
- Valladolid vs Tenerife is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.