GKS Katowice vs Zaglebie Lubin: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Arena Katowice, Katowice
The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Zaglebie Lubin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GKS Katowice vs Zaglebie Lubin?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate GKS Katowice (2,011) and Zaglebie Lubin (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GKS Katowice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Zaglebie Lubin have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 GKS Katowice win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Zaglebie Lubin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 28, 2025 | GKS Katowice 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 9, 2025 | GKS Katowice 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 GKS Katowice | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GKS Katowice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GKS Katowice sit 8th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 4 matches) and Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GKS Katowice vs Zaglebie Lubin?
- The Footlab model makes GKS Katowice the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Zaglebie Lubin.
- Where and when is GKS Katowice vs Zaglebie Lubin played?
- GKS Katowice vs Zaglebie Lubin is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Katowice, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027JagielloniavsWisla Krakow
- Mar 13, 2027Korona KielcevsSlask Wroclaw
- Mar 13, 2027Lech PoznanvsGornik Zabrze
- Mar 13, 2027Piast GliwicevsRadomiak Radom
- Mar 13, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsWisla Plock
- Mar 13, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsLegia Warszawa
- Mar 13, 2027Motor LublinvsRaków Częstochowa
- Mar 13, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsPogon Szczecin