Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Białystok
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Wisla Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Jagiellonia (2,060) and Wisla Krakow (1,984).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Wisla Krakow have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Saburtalo(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Widzew Łódź(home) | 0-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Rangers(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin(away) | 2-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 1-2 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(away) | 3-4 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jagiellonia win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Wisla Krakow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | Jagiellonia 1-0 Wisla Krakow | Super Cup |
| May 7, 2022 | Wisla Krakow 0-0 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Jagiellonia 3-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Wisla Krakow 2-0 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 24, 2020 | Jagiellonia 1-1 Wisla Krakow | Ekstraklasa |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Wisla Krakow 3-0 Jagiellonia | Ekstraklasa |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow on Apr 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Wisla Krakow | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jagiellonia sit 10th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 3 matches) and Wisla Krakow sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow?
- The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Wisla Krakow.
- Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow played?
- Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Korona KielcevsSlask Wroclaw
- Mar 13, 2027Lech PoznanvsGornik Zabrze
- Mar 13, 2027Piast GliwicevsRadomiak Radom
- Mar 13, 2027Cracovia KrakowvsWisla Plock
- Mar 13, 2027GKS KatowicevsZaglebie Lubin
- Mar 13, 2027Widzew ŁódźvsLegia Warszawa
- Mar 13, 2027Motor LublinvsRaków Częstochowa
- Mar 13, 2027Wieczysta KrakówvsPogon Szczecin