Match

Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Białystok

JagielloniaWisla Krakow

The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Wisla Krakow. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Jagiellonia (2,060) and Wisla Krakow (1,984).

Jagiellonia win53 %
Draw25 %
Wisla Krakow win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Wisla Krakow have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jagiellonia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Saburtalo(home)4-0UEFA Europa League
Aug 13, 2026Rangers(away)1-1UEFA Europa League
Aug 9, 2026Widzew Łódź(home)0-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 6, 2026Rangers(home)2-1UEFA Europa League
Jul 31, 2026Motor Lublin(away)2-1Ekstraklasa
Wisla Krakow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pogon Szczecin(away)2-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026Gornik Zabrze(away)1-2Ekstraklasa
Aug 7, 2026Wisla Plock(home)2-1Ekstraklasa
Aug 1, 2026Piast Gliwice(away)3-4Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026GKS Katowice(home)2-1Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Jagiellonia win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Wisla Krakow win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 2, 2025Jagiellonia 1-0 Wisla KrakowSuper Cup
May 7, 2022Wisla Krakow 0-0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
Nov 20, 2021Jagiellonia 3-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Feb 7, 2021Wisla Krakow 2-0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa
Aug 24, 2020Jagiellonia 1-1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
Feb 8, 2020Wisla Krakow 3-0 JagielloniaEkstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow on Apr 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Jagiellonia score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wisla Krakow score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Jagiellonia1.70.777/157/15
Wisla Krakow1.91.268/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jagiellonia sit 10th in Ekstraklasa (6 points from 3 matches) and Wisla Krakow sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Wisla Krakow521210107
10Jagiellonia3201336

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow?
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Wisla Krakow.
Where and when is Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow played?
Jagiellonia vs Wisla Krakow is played on March 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Jagiellonia and Wisla Krakow

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