Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice: prediction and stats
EkstraklasaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin
The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for GKS Katowice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,948) and GKS Katowice (1,994).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; GKS Katowice have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(away) | 0-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slask Wroclaw(home) | 2-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Legia Warszawa(away) | 1-3 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Piast Gliwice(home) | 2-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chrobry Głogów(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisla Plock(home) | 5-0 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Motor Lublin(away) | 0-1 | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Radomiak Radom(home) | 3-1 | Ekstraklasa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 GKS Katowice win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 28, 2025 | GKS Katowice 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Mar 9, 2025 | GKS Katowice 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin | Ekstraklasa |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 GKS Katowice | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; GKS Katowice score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| GKS Katowice | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zaglebie Lubin sit 5th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and GKS Katowice sit 16th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Zaglebie Lubin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice?
- The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for GKS Katowice.
- Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice played?
- Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 12, 2026Wisla KrakowvsJagiellonia
- Sep 12, 2026Legia WarszawavsWidzew Łódź
- Sep 12, 2026Gornik ZabrzevsLech Poznan
- Sep 12, 2026Wisla PlockvsCracovia Krakow
- Sep 12, 2026Pogon SzczecinvsWieczysta Kraków
- Sep 12, 2026Raków CzęstochowavsMotor Lublin
- Sep 12, 2026Radomiak RadomvsPiast Gliwice