Gladiator vs Nocerina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Piccirillo, Santa Maria Capua Vetere
The Footlab model makes Gladiator the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Nocerina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gladiator vs Nocerina?
Nocerina starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gladiator have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nocerina have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2024 | Anzio(away) | 0-4 | Serie D - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 5, 2024 | Trastevere(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Albalonga(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Atletico Uri(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Ischia(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Ischia(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Monastir(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Flaminia(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atletico Lodigiani(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Latte Dolce(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Gladiator win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nocerina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | Nocerina 2-0 Gladiator | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Gladiator 0-2 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Nocerina 2-2 Gladiator | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Gladiator 2-0 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Gladiator 0-1 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Nocerina vs Gladiator on Jan 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Gladiator score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nocerina score 0.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gladiator | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Nocerina | 0.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gladiator vs Nocerina?
- The Footlab model makes Gladiator the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Nocerina.
- Where and when is Gladiator vs Nocerina played?
- Gladiator vs Nocerina is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Piccirillo, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.