Nocerina vs Gladiator: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio San Francesco, Nocera Inferiore
The Footlab AI model makes Nocerina the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Gladiator. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nocerina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nocerina vs Gladiator?
Nocerina starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,750 vs 1,623).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nocerina vs Gladiator
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nocerina
Not enough data to predict the Nocerina lineup.
Gladiator
Not enough data to predict the Gladiator lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nocerina have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Gladiator have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bisceglie(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Francavilla(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Turris(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Nocerina wins, 1 draw, 1 Gladiator win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024 | Nocerina 2-0 Gladiator | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Gladiator 0-2 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Nocerina 2-2 Gladiator | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Gladiator 2-0 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Gladiator 0-1 Nocerina | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Nocerina vs Gladiator on Jan 14, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Nocerina score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gladiator score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nocerina | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Gladiator | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nocerina sit 5th in Serie D - Girone H (13 points from 7 matches) and Gladiator sit 10th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nocerina | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 10 | Gladiator | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Nocerina vs Gladiator?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nocerina vs Gladiator?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nocerina the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Gladiator.
- Where and when is Nocerina vs Gladiator played?
- Nocerina vs Gladiator is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio San Francesco, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.