Manfredonia vs Virtus Francavilla: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Miramare, Manfredonia
The Footlab AI model makes Manfredonia the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Virtus Francavilla. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manfredonia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,974 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manfredonia vs Virtus Francavilla?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Manfredonia (1,759) and Virtus Francavilla (1,813).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manfredonia vs Virtus Francavilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manfredonia
Not enough data to predict the Manfredonia lineup.
Virtus Francavilla
Not enough data to predict the Virtus Francavilla lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 10:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manfredonia have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Virtus Francavilla have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ischia(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Turris(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bisceglie(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ebolitana(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gravina(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Manfredonia wins, 1 draw, 3 Virtus Francavilla wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla 2-0 Manfredonia | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Manfredonia 2-5 Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Manfredonia 0-0 Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Virtus Francavilla 3-0 Manfredonia | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Francavilla vs Manfredonia on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manfredonia score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Francavilla score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manfredonia | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Virtus Francavilla | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manfredonia sit 6th in Serie D - Girone H (14 points from 8 matches) and Virtus Francavilla sit 1st (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Manfredonia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
A question about Manfredonia vs Virtus Francavilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manfredonia vs Virtus Francavilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manfredonia the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Virtus Francavilla.
- Where and when is Manfredonia vs Virtus Francavilla played?
- Manfredonia vs Virtus Francavilla is played on February 28, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Miramare, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.