Glenavon FC vs Armagh City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mourneview Park, Lurgan
The Footlab model makes Glenavon FC the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Armagh City. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Glenavon FC vs Armagh City?
Glenavon FC is a heavy favourite: 1,416 Elo points against 1,074, a 342-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Glenavon FC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Armagh City have 0, 6 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Newry City AFC(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ards(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Institute(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Glenavon FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Armagh City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Armagh City 2-2 Glenavon FC | Championship |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Armagh City 0-0 Glenavon FC | League Cup |
| Aug 2, 2022 | Armagh City 0-1 Glenavon FC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Armagh City vs Glenavon FC on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Glenavon FC score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Armagh City score 0.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenavon FC | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Armagh City | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Glenavon FC sit 4th in Championship (7 points from 4 matches) and Armagh City sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Glenavon FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 100 | 17 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 30 | 112 | 19 |
| 15 | Armagh City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Glenavon FC vs Armagh City?
- The Footlab model makes Glenavon FC the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for Armagh City.
- Where and when is Glenavon FC vs Armagh City played?
- Glenavon FC vs Armagh City is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mourneview Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.