Warrenpoint Town vs Rathfriland: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Milltown Playing Fields, Warrenpoint
The Footlab AI model makes Warrenpoint Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Rathfriland. The most likely score is 1-1. If Warrenpoint Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Warrenpoint Town vs Rathfriland?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Warrenpoint Town (1,333) and Rathfriland (1,352).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Warrenpoint Town vs Rathfriland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Warrenpoint Town
Not enough data to predict the Warrenpoint Town lineup.
Rathfriland
4-3-3- RRuairi Fitzpatrick
- EE. Rooney
- DD. Tate
- AAndrew Kilmartin
- 23J. Corbett
- MMaurice Jack Chambers
- JJ. Barbour
- DDaniel Devlin
- JJ. Cooper
- BB. Johnston
- SS. Maguire
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warrenpoint Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Rathfriland have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Warrenpoint Town wins, 0 draws, 2 Rathfriland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Rathfriland 0-2 Warrenpoint Town | Championship |
| Apr 15, 2025 | Rathfriland 0-1 Warrenpoint Town | Premier Intermediate League |
| Dec 28, 2024 | Warrenpoint Town 3-2 Rathfriland | Premier Intermediate League |
| Mar 8, 2024 | Rathfriland 3-0 Warrenpoint Town | Premier Intermediate League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Warrenpoint Town 1-2 Rathfriland | Premier Intermediate League |
Last archived meeting: Rathfriland vs Warrenpoint Town on Sep 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Warrenpoint Town score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Rathfriland score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warrenpoint Town | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Rathfriland | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Warrenpoint Town sit 9th in Championship (41 points from 38 matches) and Rathfriland sit 15th (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warrenpoint TownChampionship 1: Relegation Group | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45 | 53 | 41 |
| 15 | RathfrilandChampionship 1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Warrenpoint Town vs Rathfriland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Warrenpoint Town vs Rathfriland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Warrenpoint Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Rathfriland.
- Where and when is Warrenpoint Town vs Rathfriland played?
- Warrenpoint Town vs Rathfriland is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Milltown Playing Fields, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.