Strabane Athletic vs Moyola Park: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Strabane Athletic the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Moyola Park. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strabane Athletic vs Moyola Park?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate Strabane Athletic (1,337) and Moyola Park (1,270).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strabane Athletic have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Moyola Park have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Institute(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Strabane Athletic win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Moyola Park win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Moyola Park 1-3 Strabane Athletic | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Strabane Athletic 2-1 Moyola Park | Premier Intermediate League |
| Feb 3, 2026 | Moyola Park 4-1 Strabane Athletic | Premier Intermediate League |
Last archived meeting: Moyola Park vs Strabane Athletic on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Strabane Athletic score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Moyola Park score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strabane Athletic | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Moyola Park | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Strabane Athletic sit 14th in Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Moyola Park sit 11th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Moyola Park | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strabane Athletic vs Moyola Park?
- The Footlab model makes Strabane Athletic the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Moyola Park.
- Where and when is Strabane Athletic vs Moyola Park played?
- Strabane Athletic vs Moyola Park is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.