Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ferney Park, Ballinamallard
The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Ballinamallard United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth?
Newington Youth starts as the favourite with a 261-point Elo edge (1,472 vs 1,211).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ballinamallard United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Newington Youth have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundela(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Institute(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ballinamallard United win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Newington Youth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Newington Youth 4-0 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 3-3 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Newington Youth 4-1 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Newington Youth 2-1 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Ballinamallard United 3-2 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Newington Youth 1-0 Ballinamallard United | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Newington Youth vs Ballinamallard United on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ballinamallard United score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Newington Youth score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinamallard United | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Newington Youth | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ballinamallard United sit 9th in Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Newington Youth sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newington Youth | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 77 | 62 | 60 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 51 |
| 9 | Ballinamallard United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 52 | 34 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 60 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth?
- The Footlab model makes Newington Youth the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Ballinamallard United.
- Where and when is Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth played?
- Ballinamallard United vs Newington Youth is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ferney Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.